Actually, there is a great little Plot Analysis document on gamefaqs.com, by Sophie Chesire. The evidence she lays out in it is quite strong, so yes. Also, RE the looking like each other, I’m not saying it’s true, but someone superimposed her image over Ultimecia’s and apparently, their looks were over 90% similar. Well, here’s the evidence from that said document:
Before I tackle the issue of Ultimecia’s identity, its time to examine the
theoretical basis of the plot. Perhaps the most mind-bending fact about Final
Fantasy VIII, is that the plot revolves around a time loop. That is the end of
the events, set the beginning of the events in motion, to cause the end event
that will start the whole thing off etc.
The main problem with Time loops is how do they get started? It’s the old,
"what came first, the chicken or the egg? Ultimecia sets the events in motion
that will allow her to manoeuvre events in her past (i.e., using Edea, then
Rinoa when Edea is freed) she inevitably sets her in motion the events that
bring about her downfall, as only through her downfall can see she begin the
process.
The same paradox results in our heroes never being able to truly prevent
Ultimecia from coming into being. The “happy ending” implies Ultimecia’s
threat is now over, but in fact it can never be over for them. Ultimecia’s
reign is only at an end in the future, for Squall and the others; her coming to
be is inevitable. For only by allowing Ultimecia compress time can they throw
her back into the past and cause the establishment of SeeD and Garden.
This is why Ellone and Laguna allow Ultimecia to achieve Time Compression, only
by doing so can they bring SeeD and Garden into being. Some people have openly
questioned why the risk of allowing Time Compression was done, well if our
heroes had found a way to stop Ultimecia without Time Compressing, then SeeD
and Garden don’t exist anymore! And if they didn’t exist, then they couldn’t
have brought about the events that prevented them coming into existence, so
they must still exist!
Basically it’s the old, if you travel back in time and kill your grandfather,
you would cease to exits in the future, so would be unable to travel back in
time and kill your grandfather!
So we’re are back to the first question, how the hell does all this get
started?
When you start dealing with concepts such as time travel, you’re teetering on
the edge of some very complex concepts. For example, current Quantum Theory
posits that its IS in fact possible to go back in time and kill your own
grandfather and still exist to do so. The key to this is parallel universes.
The idea being that our homicidal time traveller starts off in Universe 1, he
travels back into time and kills his poor grandfather. This creates Universe 2
which runs parallel to Universe 1. When our time traveller returns to his time
in his time machine he returns to Universe 2, here his grandfather is dead and
he has no descendents, our murderer is a man out of time now. In Universe 1,
the grandfather still lives to eventually have the murderous grandson be born
and come after him.
So this probably implies at least two parallel universes in Final Fantasy VIII.
One in which perhaps quite a different sequence of events unfolds, which allow
Ultimecia to compress time. At the end of which some catastrophe throws
Ultimecia back in time and in her attempts to bring about Time Compression
again starts a new time loop in a new universe. So she still exists in her
first universe/timeline to kick off events, but is then trapped in the second
universe/timeline always sowing the “SeeDs” of her own future destruction in
the past! When we play the game, we could be viewing the first time the loop
runs it course or the millionth!
b) SO WHO IS ULTIMECIA?
My theory is that Ultimecia is actually… Rinoa!
Now before you all start throwing things, there is no concrete proof of this,
it’s pure speculation on my part. Part of the problem with Ultimecia is she is
such a nebulous threat, and no real clues are given to her identity. There is
an argument that she may not even be one single Sorceress but herself and
amalgam of Sorceress past. When she is trying to take over Adel, Odine worries
that Adel might actually become the driving personality and the implication is
that Ultimecia in the body of a powerful Sorceress might retain the personality
of that Sorceress (unlike when she took over Edea, who was subsumed).
There are many odd aspects to Rinoa. We are told Sorceresses get their
potential powers at age five (then it seems they have to inherit full powers
from a dying Sorceress). Julia, her mother dies in a car crash when Rinoa is
five. In the time-loop universe, this is also the year that Ultimecia arrives
back in the past. Rinoa speaks openly of passing her powers on and what will
happen. Perhaps in our first universe, a place where Rinoa never met Squall as
SeeD did not exist, Rinoa is much more embittered by the loss of her mother and
poor relationship with her father. (She may even have lost both parents in this
Universe and ended up at the Orphanage, explaining why Ultimecia appears there
in the past as when travelling through time, all are told to concentrate on one
places, a special place. Also though remember Rinoa and Squall make the
Orphanage the place they will meet each other if they ever get lost, so she
could have that attachment to the place as well).
Perhaps she came to the attention of the Esthar Soldiers searching for an heir
for Adel to pass her powers onto, with Ellone left to be experimented on for
her time control powers that Doc Odine is interested in. In this universe,
events may unfold so that Rinoa ends up inheriting powers from Adel and
possibly becomes a nasty piece of work. Possibly then the resistance to Adel
manages to carry over and capture and seal Rinoa instead.
After many, many years. Possibly thousands, something happens to release Rinoa,
who is probably by now, pretty narked off and possibly insane. She calls
herself Ultimecia and in a spectacular act of revenge she decides to wipeout
all living things that ever existed. Using the now perfected “Junction Machine
Ellone” she reaches back into the past and uses the young Ellone to allow her
to compress time. Now the universe splits. In universe 1, Time Compression is
achieved, but something goes wrong and Time Decompresses violently and possibly
remembering her mother, remerges back in the past at an Orphanage IN UNIVERSE
2. a new Universe in which the events of Universe 1 haven’t taken place yet.
There the Sorceress in potentia (Edea), receives her powers and Rinoa/Ultimecia
is gone. She can’t go back in time in Universe 1 as this would negate the
events that brought her there!
Now Ultimecia doesn’t exist yet in this Universe, she only exists as a
potential future. This flux of time is what allows people to know of her as a
Sorceress from the past. Note how NO ONE in the game can actually explain HOW
they know Ultimecia is from the future or indeed why the hell she wants to
Compress Time.
Edea, probably privy now to some of Ultimecia’s plans to bring herself back
into being sets up SeeD with her husband as normal. The plot unfolds as the
game, except when it comes the battle in the Lunatic Pandora. Time Compression
does not take place as Ultimecia does not exist in the future to bring it
about. Adel is killed and Rinoa and Squall live happily ever after.
Except they don’t, Rinoa becomes corrupted by the powers she inherited from
Ultimecia/herself. Squall devoted to her, becomes her Sorceress Knight. Rinoa
begins to use her power and the advanced science of Esthar to change the world
and the people in it. Eventually using “Junction machine Ellone” to reach back
into her past and use herself to Compress time. Imagine her surprise when in
her Castle, Squall, and herself arrive to destroy her!
The reason being is that in Universe 2, events are now changed as
Ultimecia/Rinoa now DOES exist in the future. With Ultimecia defeated, both
her and Squall travel back in time and into the past of Universe 2. Here once
again Edea inherits Ultimecia’s powers. However in Universe 2, Squall never
escapes the limbo he finds himself trapped in. An embittered Rinoa, with her
Ultimecia inherited powers decides far in the future to once again, Compress
Time in an effort to bring him back and perhaps she does bring him back
although in keeping with the changes wrought on her by all the temporal
shenanigans, Squall returns to her in a much altered form…
Then once again Squall and her younger self arrive from the past and defeat
her, sending her back into the past to initiate the events using her future
self that now exists.
The third universe is the one “we” the viewer experience when Squall arrives
back safely from the limbo. And he and Rinoa live happily ever after. Except
they don’t, Rinoa becomes corrupted by the powers she inherited from
Ultimecia/herself. Squall devoted to her, becomes her Sorceress Knight. Rinoa
begins to use her power and the advanced science of Esthar to change the world
and the people in it. Eventually using “Junction machine Ellone” to reach back
into her past and use herself to Compress time so she can enjoy an eternal
“present” with Squall.
This is my basic theory then, that in the first Universe, Rinoa/Ultimecia in a
completely separate series of events bring about time compression and she is
kicked over into universe 2. This allows SeeD to exist in the first version of
Universe 2, even though at that point, Ultimecia has not compressed time. After
past events are changed several times in this universe by the unfolding future
ones, the final time loop is set up in Universe 2 with Rinoa/Ultimecia
attempting to either bring back the lost Squall or seeking to prolong her
existence with him. This plays over and over as it must do, created as it is
from actions in the future, brought about by results those actions had on the
past.
Well, after all that you probably think, “WHAT?”. Like I said it’s only
speculation, but Ultimecia’s reasons are never really explained in the game.
Yet when I replayed the game, one line of Rinoa’s really chilled me.
Esthar Airstation: Rinoa? The sorceress!? She’s on the ship!?
Squall: (So… It’s true? Rinoa is a sorceress?)
Rinoa: I’ve… become a sorceress. I can’t stay with you anymore, Squall.
Esthar Airstation: Respond, Ragnarok!
Rinoa: I don’t want the future. I want the present to stand still. I just want
to stay here with you…
Squall: (Rinoa…)
Esthar Airstation: Respond, Ragnarok!
Rinoa: Nobody would want to be around me anymore…
Esthar Airstation: The sorceress will be seized upon arrival. Be sure to follow
the crews instructions.
Rinoa: I’m… scared.
Esthar Airstation: Squall, do you copy? Is the sorceress listening, too?
Squall breaks off contact with the Esthar Airstation.
Rinoa: I’m scared, Squall.
Squall goes to Rinoa.
Rinoa: I don’t wanna go back.
Look at that line: “I don’t want the future. I want the present to stand
still”. If that doesn’t sound like a reason for Time Compression I don’t know
what does!
Later on Squall vows to be her knight, even if she fears she may turn bad. He
will not destroy her even if she does, he will stand by her. So it is easy to
imagine them becoming corrupted in the future. Her love for him provides
motivation to compress time in both scenarios, either lost in limbo or safely
back.
Rinoa: What’ll become of me?
Squall: Don’t worry about it. There’ve been many good sorceress. Edea
was one. You can be like her.
Rinoa: But Edea’s still… I can’t guarantee anything, either, if Ultimecia
possesses me again… You saw me. She controlled me in outerspace and made me
break Adel’s seal. What might happen next time? What will I end up doing? Will
I end up fighting everyone? …Scary thought, isn’t it?
Squall: (Rinoa…) (Even if you end up as the world’s enemy.) (I’ll…)
(I’ll be your knight.)
Rinoa: If I fall under Ultimecia’s control again… SeeD will come kill me,
right? And the leader of SeeD is you, Squall… Squall’s sword will pierce my
heart… I guess it’s ok if it’s you, Squall. Nobody else. Squall, if that
ever happens…
Squall: That’s enough! I’ll never do anything like that. The sorceress I’m
after is not you, Rinoa. My enemy is the sorceress from the future…
Ultimecia.
Rinoa: Ultimecia lives in the future and possesses me. She uses my body as her
extension in this world. How will you save me?
Squall: I’ll come up with something… There’s gotta be a way.
Rinoa: …
Being a Rinoa fan, I don’t think she is intrinsically evil. She is somebody
who due to the enormous stresses and strains caused by time alteration and her
own powers has probably developed into a monstrous being with only a trace of
Rinoas essence left.
For this reason I not only believe Ultimecia to be the future incarnation of
Rinoa, I also believe her GF Griever to be Squall! Is it too much postulate
that as she changes her own appearance in the future so she makes Squall into a
being of greater power, fit for the Ultimate Sorceress? Or retrieves him from
limbo, the power of her mind calling him forth in that form? The emphasis given
to the Griever ring seems to imply this (in my deranged mind at least!). We
are never told how GF’s come about, but the process in FFX seems to be likely
(both games are notably for giving Summons beasts more personality and
flexibility) where a person becomes an Aeon and can be called upon. The
merging of Ultimecia and Griever seems very reminiscent of the Sin/Aeon merger
in FFX as well.
If you don’t buy the idea that Ultimecia is Rinoa, the two-universe theory
still stands as a valid way of kicking off the whole sequence of events. With
Ultimecia compressing time for reasons known only to the fevered brains of the
developers. This simplifies the events a bit (!).
- Ultimecia compresses time in Universe 1 and it goes wrong
- Ultimecia arrives back in Universe 2 and possesses Edea
- Initially Ultimecia does not exist in the future of Universe 2
- She plans to bring herself into being by passing herself from Sorceress to
Sorceress
- Edea is able to see her future plans before being wholly taken over
- SeeD is set up as normal
- With no Ultimecia in this future, no time compression is planned
- Instead Ultimecia subtly passes herself along through the generations with
SeeDs always combating, but never destroying her
- In the far future she finally exists and using Ellone reaches into the past.
This changes some aspects of the past with the plot unfolding as we see it, now
Ultimecia is known of in the future.
- Time Compresses, Squall etc kill her in the future. She returns to the past
and kickstarts the timeloop. Now she exists both in the past AND future in this
Universe and that’s the game we play!